Examining the home price boom and its effect on owners, lenders, regulators, realtors and the economy as a whole.
Monday, January 23, 2006
'Challenging Environment' A 'Sign Of The Times'
Wall Street is sounding off on the housing bubble. "JMP Securities on Monday downgraded shares of a pair of homebuilders that operate in markets where the analysts see signs of a housing slowdown. The analysts said the sector 'may face some margin pressure in the second half of 2006 as pricing power decelerates and the use of incentives picks up.'"
"JMP said both companies have exposure to areas where it sees slower home sales: Northern California, Phoenix and Florida."
"JMP predicts a softer landing for the housing market than forecast by analysts who take a more negative view. 'We do not expect dramatic margin compression, as the bears believe, [because] we expect the builders will begin pushing back on their materials suppliers and subcontractors and will renegotiate land deals to more favorable terms.'"
Inman News has this report on Ameriquest. "Ameriquest Mortgage Co. has finalized a $325 million settlement of allegations that it deceived borrowers, falsified loan documents and pressured appraisers to overstate home values, the Los Angeles Times reported Saturday. A task force of 49 states and the District of Columbia plans to announce today that the Orange County-based company and two affiliates, all specialists in higher-cost mortgages to borrowers unable to qualify for bank loans, agreed to overhaul their lending practices."
"Industry experts told the Times the deal could in effect force rival lenders in the higher-cost loan market to adopt similar standards to avoid legal challenges from both regulators and consumers. These loans have been the fastest-growing segment of the mortgage market and now account for an estimate of approximately 20 percent of all such lending."
"The settlement terms are designed to address a variety of allegedly improper lending practices detailed in a series of Los Angeles Times articles in the last year. In those Los Angeles Times stories, former and current employees alleged that top-down pressure to boost loan sales created a 'boiler room' atmosphere where workers forged documents, misled borrowers about rates and fees and inflated borrowers' incomes and home values to qualify them for loans they couldn't afford. Under the reported deal, hundreds of thousands of customers could be eligible for refunds."
From Origination News. "Washington Mutual, Seattle, has reported that it earned just $47 million off its residential lending business in the fourth quarter, a 71% decline from the level of a year earlier. Compared with those of the third quarter, home lending profits fell by 75%. WaMu chairman and chief executive Kerry Killinger attributed the earnings dropoff to a 'challenging environment' in residential finance, including increased hedging costs and a flat yield curve."
"The surprising thing about last week's announcement that Washington Mutual Inc. is moving 1,000 call-center jobs from Chatsworth to San Antonio, Texas, and Costa Rica is that it wasn't surprising. At least not to economic development officials. Dirt's cheaper in Texas than here. After Nissan USA moved its headquarters to Tennessee a few weeks ago, Jack Kyser, chief economist at the the Los Angeles Economic Development Corp, sent letters saying, 'Hey, we got a problem here,' to eight influential lawmakers, including Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger. He got one response. It wasn't from Schwarzenegger. 'Basically, they act like they are in a bubble. They don't think anybody is competing from our job base,' Kyser said."
And some headlines from NMN. "American Mortgage Network, the San Diego-based wholesaler better known as AmNet, has left the subprime business. Friedman Billings Ramsey has downgraded Fannie Mae's stock to "underperform" because the giant mortgage company could be stuck with higher capital requirements and slower portfolio growth for two years."
"In what might be a sign of the times subprime giant Aegis Mortgage has tossed its correspondent division overboard. The privately held lender apparently bought its last loan in December."
Thanks to the readers who sent in some of these links. Also In Mr. Muolo's column:
ReplyDelete'Recently, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency issued approval letters to three national banks allowing them to take equity stakes in real estate projects. Of course, The National Bank Act prohibits OCC banks from investing in real estate though there are exceptions for office and back office space where depositories conduct business. Students of the banking (and thrift) industry might recall the S&L crisis was fueled, in part, by deregulation (remember the Nolan Act?) that allowed institutions to invest in large commercial real estate projects. Remember Charlie Keating and Lincoln Savings?'
'NO LONGER WITH US: William B. O'Connell, 82, former president of the U.S. League of Savings Institutions. Mr. O'Connell managed the former thrift trade group through the height of S&L scandal. Mr. O'Connell, however, did not exactly distinguish himself during the crisis, underestimating the size of the S&L bailout, and having his trade group lobby against a Federal rule that would severely limit risky 'direct investments' by thrifts.'
In defense of Schwarzenegger, he has public spoke about how he wants to attract businesses into staying in and coming to CA. He knows this is important.
ReplyDeleteToo bad he spent too much time critizing public workers and trying to resolve the downfalls of that sector the wrong way. (He should have overturned all the regulation that was put in place between the time when CA was top ranking to now. All signs point to that being the real problem.)
Schwarzenegger needs to get cost of living under control, but it's really out of his hands. Greenspan really made a mess with having interest rates too low for too long.
I can first hand confirm that AmNet left the subprime business. I have a friend that has been there for a while, and I spoke with him recently and he told me they closed their doors. Reps can move to the a-paper side if they choose to do so.
ReplyDeleteSoCalMtgGuy
Another F@CKED Borrower
pingisman,
ReplyDeletetry propertyshark.com
Ben, we would like to exchange links with you. We run:
The US Condo Exchange
and
The Everything Condo Blog.
On the US Condo Exchange we offer real time data on pricing and the Blog covers the issues discussed here, as they relate to the condo market.
All the best,
jh