Tuesday, January 24, 2006

Moving Towards Equilibrium In Coachella Valley

The Desert Sun has an update on the Palm Springs housing market. "The Coachella Valley's median home sales price slipped a bit in December from its record $400,000 posted in November. But at a median of $390,000, the figure was still 15 percent higher than a year ago. The trends have shown fewer homes being sold in recent months and staying on the market longer." "December valley home sales counts were down from year-ago levels in most categories tracked by DataQuick. The overall 990 homes sold was down 7.6 percent, the count for resale condos was down 33.6 percent, and the total of new-construction properties sold dropped 10.7 percent." "According to Greg Berkemer of the California Desert Association of Realtors, local unsold inventory continues to grow, from 5,657 properties in December to 6,395 as of Monday, as the market moves toward equilibrium between buyers and sellers." "To ease the sale of a house he purchased in Palm Springs in August and placed on the market in October, longtime investor Rick Castro of Rancho Cucamonga is trying a method that he said has worked well for him and other investors elsewhere in Riverside County. He is offering the four-bedroom home, located in an older neighborhood..with an asking price of $450,000, with a rent-to-own option." "There is no formal qualifying process, but Castro is looking for buyers with a steady income. His terms: pay $7,500 in initial move-in costs and $1,800 for rent. Provided the buyer stays for the term of a one-year lease, $1,350 out of each month's rent payment will go toward the purchase price. 'Not everybody has $20,000 or $25,000 to put down as a downpayment on a house,' Castro said Monday. 'If they have decent credit and decent income, this can work for somebody buying a house for the first time.'" "Carl Ingram, a real estate agent in Rancho Mirage, predicted that a continually tightening market will prompt more sellers to try similar methods, or at least lower their asking prices. Pressure on sellers could heighten if mortgage interest rates rise, or if sellers begin to feel pressure as the introductory terms on their 'exotic' loans expire in the next two years." "Right now, Ingram said homes priced below $400,000 are selling briskly, while sellers of homes priced higher are getting fewer bites, depending on homes' amenities. 'It's gotten to where if you don't have a swimming pool, don't expect to sell very fast around here,' said Ingram. He said he is advising selling clients to consider lowering their asking prices by 10 percent if they have not received serious offers in the first 45 days."

10 comments:

  1. 'Coachella Valley rents in the fourth quarter of 2005 rose on average 2.2percent from the year-earlier period. The average monthly asking rent in the valley was $904..the median housing price in the Coachella Valley is $400,000, business and political leaders have become increasingly concerned about the cost of housing'

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  2. There is no way I'd give $7K up front to a guy who could possibly end up in financial trouble over his stupid purchase unless it were in some kind of escrow account which could not be withdrawn without both our signatures. I won't even give a damage deposit of more than $500 to anyone for the same reason unless they're willing to escrow it. They immediately go out and spend it and then make up some excuse why you should not get it back.

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  3. I've got a friend who did this lease purchase thing. The rentor cut a huge hole in the ceiling throught the roof. Did damage to the doors and other areas. She had to boot him out. With a couple of thousand in repairs and the house sat vacant. Then a few weeks later when checking on the house it is completely flooded. The pipes broke. Now the insurance company won't pay. Ah the life a flippers. Now with probably 20-30K in damages it's empty and not livable. Plus when it is finally fixed these repairs will show up on the insurance report and anybody with a brain would run from a potential mold problem.

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  4. "Mr Geithner repeated his call for US politicians to reduce the budget deficit. The fact that the US is using much of the money borrowed from abroad to finance public spending, he said, increased the dangers. If it was being invested in the productive capacity of the US tradeable goods industries, this would at least help the US to pay back its foreign obligations"

    that's just it, houses aren't going to be bought in large quantities by people overseas. most aren't producing any income. as robert prechter said, they are non-liquidating assets.

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  5. ockurt said...

    ENVISIONING A MASSIVE PARK IN O.C.

    Ken Smith is known for smaller parks in New York. In Irvine, he plans a 70-foot-deep, 2-mile-long canyon, sports fields and more. (LAT) | PL

    http://tinyurl.com/8b9b4

    OT but a good read.

    9:51 AM

    ockurt,

    I guess so, as you can see, it's on the server. Only a few more days of this.

    ReplyDelete
  6. ockurt said...

    ENVISIONING A MASSIVE PARK IN O.C.

    Ken Smith is known for smaller parks in New York. In Irvine, he plans a 70-foot-deep, 2-mile-long canyon, sports fields and more. (LAT) | PL

    http://tinyurl.com/8b9b4

    OT but a good read.

    9:51 AM

    ockurt,

    I guess so, as you can see, it's on the server. Only a few more days of this.

    10:29 AM

    ReplyDelete
  7. Palm Springs median is closer to $570k. The Coachella Valley is a big place.

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  8. ("US current account deficit ‘unsustainable’ – NY Fed chief"

    It it's been sustainable for 30 years (the last surplus was 1975) why not 31, 32, 35 or 40?

    What will the trigger be that makes it unsustainable?

    But more importantly, if rising trade deficits have enabled the housing bubble, a continued rise should be bullish for prices.

    Therefore, we shouldn't worry about a continued rise in the deficit. Instead, we should be on the lookout for a reduction. )

    my friend smoked his whole life and never got cancer, therefore, cancer is nothing to worry about. first of all, saying the deficit has been sustainable for 30 years is a joke. it's like saying an old bridge has not collapsed yet, even though it's in bad shape, so we don't have to worry. the fact is the deficit is a problem. the levels we're at are a problem. maybe the reason we've not had problems in the past it that we've worried about it.

    don't forget, we had 1987 and then the following recession to help cure our deficit problems.

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  9. (Nicotine is a known deadly carcinogen, borrowing money is not.) yes it is, especially in large quantities. that's what history teaches us. the 90s recession was supposed to happen, that's the cycle.

    you just can't keep borrowing and borrowing at high levels. it's just never happened before.

    ReplyDelete