Examining the home price boom and its effect on owners, lenders, regulators, realtors and the economy as a whole.
Saturday, January 28, 2006
'Long Run Down Crooked Path' For Recent Buyer
Steve McLinden at BankRate.com fields a letter from a remorseful homebuyer. "Dear Real Estate Adviser, I have a contract to buy a new town home for $800,000, but recently I learned that since I signed, the builder has reduced the price of the same type of town home by $100,000. I have a closing coming up and will be sitting there with a house which has already depreciated before I move in. If I put it on the market, will I get $800,000? Should I stay for a while or rent it out? I am confused and frustrated!"
"A: Wow! That's one inordinately steep discount and appears to be a cut-and-run strategy that shows little regard for the housing values of other recent buyers. But in most businesses, including real estate, sellers will seek what the market will bear, then drop prices abruptly to clear out excessive inventory when conditions change. Usually, there's little you can do about it."
"You were, and I shudder to have to tell you this, likely caught on the wrong end of a change in your market. And unfortunately, you have little recourse, unless you can prove that the builder used fraudulent or otherwise illegal hard-sell tactics to rope you in before new pricing took hold. Even then, you're looking at a long run down a crooked path."
"You don't say how much earnest money you plunked down or what contractual consequences you face if you don't 'perform' on your deal. These are issues you should immediately discuss with an experienced real estate lawyer if you are entertaining thoughts of backing out."
"In the last few months, some single-family home builders have cut prices up to 25 percent in a few previously red-hot markets such as Las Vegas. These scenarios usually occur when speculators quit investing. Until recently, investors accounted for as many as one in four transactions in several of the hotter markets."
"Depending on where you live, it's not very likely, though certainly not impossible, that you'll be able to sell your townhome for $800,000 any time soon. As for renting: If the entire market softens, more rental houses will start appearing, and rents will drop. So you may be better served just nesting in your town house for a while."
"History (and inflation) have shown us that hot-gone-cool markets almost always heat up again. Good luck."
Thanks to the reader who sent this in.
ReplyDelete"History (and inflation) have shown us that hot-gone-cool markets almost always heat up again*. Good luck."
ReplyDeleteFellow speculators from Kali-phonier, next stop is Japan!
In the 30's the market came back; it only took 25 years to do so.
ReplyDeleteI heard that some landowners in Florida are _still_ underwater.
they'd have to get $8,000/month on this property in rent according to the old metrics, correct?
ReplyDeleteB-b-b-b-but.....real estate only goes up!
ReplyDeleteSure, it is hard to feel sorry for vainvestor, but I like to think it is best to spread the pain, and hope that no one can get away clean.
ReplyDeleteIf builders are wiped out(or prevented from profiting) for their part in this scam, all the better.
So the music stopped and this poor flipper didn't find a chair. All I can say is: Tough luck, buddy.
ReplyDeleteIf the market would have gone up instead, I probably would have overheard him at a party, loudly boasting that he had made a quick 200K profit off his TH flip.
I think the best salvage he can do at this point is walk from the contract and forfeit his deposit. Why throw good money after bad?
We are going to be hearing a lot more of these tales in a hurry.
beachbubble,
ReplyDelete...and for taste of your whiskey, I'll give some advice...
Looseth thy deposit and moveth on with thy life.
That 10M you now boast about will soon evaporate to less than 5M.
ReplyDeleteEnjoy the ride down, vain one.
<< I'll have been living in my crap apartment for the past six years, while he'll have been living in houses. >>
ReplyDeleteWhy not rent a house then? The rental markets are all screwed up and you can rent a house for 2-2.5% of the purchase price in many inflated areas. Sometimes the rents on houses are actually cheaper than apartments 1/4 the size.