Examining the home price boom and its effect on owners, lenders, regulators, realtors and the economy as a whole.
Monday, January 30, 2006
'The Downward Side' Of Mortgage Lending
A trio of reports provide an update on the home loan business. "ABN Amro Holding NV, the largest Dutch bank, may say fourth-quarter profit dropped as earnings from the U.S. declined and provisions for risky loans increased. 'The U.S. business is a risk,' said Patrick Leclerc. 'ABN Amro, like other commercial and retail banks in the U.S., is suffering from a flattening yield curve.'"
"Paul Muolo writes at the NMN. "Here's how the big layoff went down at Aurora Loan Services last Wednesday: the 'suits' at Lehman Brothers arrived from New York that morning and the top brass at ALS were all dressed in suits and ties. (Normally it's a casual atmosphere at the Denver company.) A source familiar with the matter said 200 workers were let go. The alt-A giant also plans to wind down its Irvine, Calif., office over the next 90 days, resulting in another 100 or so job losses. Lehman would not comment for the record but a source familiar with the matter confirmed there were layoffs, blaming the cuts on reduced production volumes in the industry and the 'downward side of the mortgage cycle.'"
"The MBA gave its members some really bad news last week. The trade group predicted that the yield curve, the difference between short and long-term rates, will be relatively flat the next two years. The forecast comes amid poor earnings reports (because of tight margins) and signs that a handful of midsized firms are heading for the exits. In the year ahead consolidation could eliminate scores of firms. In case you missed it: American Mortgage Network the San Diego-based wholesaler better known as AmNet, has officially exited the subprime business."
And the Seattle Times reports on the reaction to the Ameriquest settlement in Washington. "State leaders say a settlement with Ameriquest Mortgage is an efficient solution that guarantees thousands of Washington homeowners will get some restitution money. But several local attorneys and a former senior assistant attorney general say the terms of the settlement in the predatory-lending case mean consumers may get much less than they deserve."
"The states' investigation found that Ameriquest overvalued homes in appraisals and made up employment and income information to allow more people to qualify for loans. That's what Kelly Post of Auburn said happened to her. In May 2003, when she went to refinance, her husband was dying of Lou Gehrig's disease. Post said the Ameriquest lender pressured her to lie about her income and say she made $3,500 a month as a home caregiver. She agreed, even though the family made only about $1,100 a month from welfare and federal disability."
"Post used some of the cash in the $139,000 refinancing loan to take her husband and two children on a final family vacation. They returned home to payments that were higher than promised, she said, and quickly fell behind. 'The guy seemed so nice and stuff when we did the refinance, and then it seemed like he didn't want to work with me at all afterwards,' she said."
"Seattle attorney Melissa Huelsman has several clients who are suing Ameriquest. She won't recommend that they take the state's settlement. 'There's very serious problems with the AGs giving away essentially the whole farm in return for what we all agree is a very small sum of money,' Huelsman said. The settlement does nothing to get borrowers out of the loan terms they agreed to. It does, however, allow Ameriquest customers to use evidence of predatory lending to try to stop a foreclosure."
Thanks to the reader who sent in the Seattle link. These items are off the NMN homepage:
ReplyDelete'Peter Angelos, a nationally known class-action attorney, has filed lawsuits against six mortgage companies alleging that the lenders engaged in predatory practices in Maryland.'
'The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight is signaling that its long-awaited report on Fannie Mae's accounting scandal may not be ready for release by the end of March, as previously indicated.'
"Post said the Ameriquest lender pressured her to lie about her income and say she made $3,500 a month as a home caregiver. She agreed, even though the family made only about $1,100 a month from welfare and federal disability."
ReplyDelete"Post used some of the cash in the $139,000 refinancing loan to take her husband and two children on a final family vacation."
Sorry, but I don't think this person deserves a red cent. In fact, she deserves some jail time, along with her mortgage broker. The text can be reworded thusly:
"I went to my mortgage broker, and he suggested that we defraud the system and make some money together. I thought it would be a great way to get some money I don't have to take a vacation."
It's a total case of fraud. They should be fined or jailed or both.
all hail mr greenspan!
ReplyDeleteSavings Rate Hits Lowest Level Since 1933 As Consumers Use Money to Finance Big-Ticket Purchases
maybe precther was right, maybe deflation already started but easy money just hide it for a few years.
On the same day that the White House announced that President Bush is nominating California billionaire Roland E. Arnall to be ambassador to the Netherlands, the company he controls said it would set aside $325 million for a possible settlement of allegations of predatory lending tactics.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/07/28/AR2005072801842.html
Dreaming of a home in '07 said... "Oh this is going to end so badly..."
ReplyDeleteSo very, very badly.
30 year Pleasure Boat Loans
ReplyDeleteThe music has stopped and the greedy are scrambling for those precious few chairs available. All the while, the hungry sharks are swimming about the room, smelling the fresh scent of blood in the water...
ReplyDeleteSilence is indeed golden.
Next time a realtor promises me guaranteed appreciation, I think I'll have to ask if they are willing to put that guarantee in writing.
ReplyDeleteInsufficient. If the market tanks, he will probably be in trouble and he will not be in any position to honor any "guarantee".
This is off topic but is very relevant to bubbles. I didn't no the market lost 40% of its value.
ReplyDeletehttp://atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/HA31Dj01.html
"But the Greenspan bubble, like every other bubble in history, eventually had to end. It topped in March 2000 and its first Great Bear downleg lasted until March 2003 or so. Over this period of time the S&P 500 companies lost about 40% of their bubble value, about $5.5 trillion in these elite companies alone. This loss is just mind-blowing, and it damaged the investor class immeasurably. Monetary inflation hurts the wealthy too when the bubbles it creates suddenly pop and wreak great havoc. "
Hey, that gives me an idea Vioviv. Someone should use an MP3 player to record realtors' crazy guarantees at open houses, if that's legal, which may not be the case. I am not a lawyer.
ReplyDeleteContributions to IRA and 401(k) plans are counted toward the savings rate.
ReplyDeleteIt includes IRA and 401K! That's crazy
I agree that the lady who lied on the application should bear much of the blame. But if her story is true, these Ameriquest guys make Mr. Potter look like a saint. Urging a soon-to-be widow to take out an over appraised loan!
ReplyDeleteContributions to IRA and 401(k) plans are counted toward the savings rate.
ReplyDeleteSavings is not determined by counting various savings and investments.
I believe it is income-expenditure.
i.e income is a defined set and os are expenditure.
Capital appreciation is not income, i.e increase in your portfoilo. But income dsitribution by your MF is income, so is interested on your savings account.
Income include that to which you have easy access and you can spend.
ofcourse major portion of it is salary.
Capital appreciation is not income, i.e increase in your portfoilo. But income dsitribution by your MF is income, so is interested on your savings account.
ReplyDeletePlaying devil's advocate here. Why SHOULD people save in the ways that will be counted in the statistics? If your house is going up 20% in value each year, why worry about sticking money into a CD or mutual fund?
lou minatti said: Why SHOULD people save in the ways that will be counted in the statistics?
ReplyDeletePeople should save in ways that advance their financial plans. It just so happens that the way the statistics are counted tend to correspond somewhat with prudent savings strategies. Since we have an out of control currency policy, the only thing I would add to most suggested savings plans for the average person is a small amount of foreign exchange (Swiss francs or euros) and precious metals, about 10-15% of savings.
There is something to be said for putting your liquid assets to work for you, so I wouldn't advocate leaving everything in savings, checking or even money market accounts. Once you save up to a year or two worth of living expenses in those types of accounts, it makes sense to deploy additional savings into various investments (equities, bonds, futures, forex, etc.), matching your taste for risk for each tranche with the specific investment position.
If your house is going up 20% in value each year, why worry about sticking money into a CD or mutual fund?
The temptation to count asset appreciation as a bird in hand is generally imprudent whether the asset is real estate, equities, or a hot racetrack tip. Until you take that profit off the table and discharge all obligations associated with the asset, the appreciated value is still "in play" in the market. Collateralizing the appreciated valuation is not locking in the profit, it is entering into more debt on a speculated clearing of all profit in the future.
There are exceptions of course, but they generally tend to hold for financially astute players and/or wealthy people ($1M or more in liquid assets) who are able to capitalize/fund bumps in any transactions where they collateralize an asset.